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#338330 - 19/10/2010 00:32 The stock market...
drakino
carpal tunnel

Registered: 08/06/1999
Posts: 7868
Might as well keep my trend of Apple posts going tonight...

So what is it with the stock market and their reaction to financial news? Apple comes out and announces their best quarter in the entire history of the company, and it's not even a christmas holiday quarter. How does the market respond? By dinging the stock price 6% of it's value in after hours trading. Why? Apparently because "the street" expected Apple to announce 5 million iPads sold in the quarter, but only 4.19 million were sold due to supply constraints.

I just don't understand this phenomenon. A company does well, but not to the exact level that some analyst says, and the stock price falls. But in other cases a company can do badly, but not as bad as someone predicts, and a stock price will go up. confused

I'm just glad I never got heavy into stock trading. I'd be basing most of my buys off what companies I think will do well, not which ones meet peoples predictions. Though, I suppose most of this would only be important in day trading. Longer term investments seem to do okay following the companies that perform well.

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#338331 - 19/10/2010 00:39 Re: The stock market... [Re: drakino]
hybrid8
carpal tunnel

Registered: 12/11/2001
Posts: 7738
Loc: Toronto, CANADA
The stock price falls after a good announcement because it has rallied prior to the announcement. More precisely because people are selling off shares to take some profit. If you have money to throw around, you buy Apple stock a little while before a quarterly result and you sell where you think the peak is - usually the day of the announcement. I can't recall the last time it didn't play out like this.
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Twisted Melon : Fine Mac OS Software

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#338338 - 19/10/2010 06:21 Re: The stock market... [Re: drakino]
Taym
carpal tunnel

Registered: 18/06/2001
Posts: 2504
Loc: Roma, Italy
Originally Posted By: drakino
I just don't understand this phenomenon. A company does well, but not to the exact level that some analyst says, and the stock price falls. But in other cases a company can do badly, but not as bad as someone predicts, and a stock price will go up. confused

Many are not interested in how well a company is doing in general terms, but how well it will do in the (near) future compared to how it is doing now. So, they spot a trend (or, hope to do so), and use it to make a profit.
They sell shares now at a higher price that that you'll be able to buy them tomorrow it the tred is negative, or buy shares now at a lower price than tomorrow's price of those same shares if the trend is positive.
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#338354 - 19/10/2010 14:06 Re: The stock market... [Re: drakino]
canuckInOR
carpal tunnel

Registered: 13/02/2002
Posts: 3212
Loc: Portland, OR
Originally Posted By: drakino
I'd be basing most of my buys off what companies I think will do well, not which ones meet peoples predictions.

Which is what you should be doing. smile

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#338370 - 19/10/2010 18:59 Re: The stock market... [Re: hybrid8]
TigerJimmy
old hand

Registered: 15/02/2002
Posts: 1049
Originally Posted By: hybrid8
The stock price falls after a good announcement because it has rallied prior to the announcement. More precisely because people are selling off shares to take some profit. If you have money to throw around, you buy Apple stock a little while before a quarterly result and you sell where you think the peak is - usually the day of the announcement. I can't recall the last time it didn't play out like this.


Wall Street types have a saying for this: "Buy the rumor, sell the news."

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