Unoffical empeg BBS

Quick Links: Empeg FAQ | RioCar.Org | Hijack | BigDisk Builder | jEmplode | emphatic
Repairs: Repairs

Topic Options
#307443 - 19/02/2008 16:15 It's a bird! It's a plane! Its...
tonyc
carpal tunnel

Registered: 27/06/1999
Posts: 7058
Loc: Pittsburgh, PA
...debris from a satellite that the U.S. Military is going to destroy just to prove that the U.S. has bigger balls than China!

Sorry, Canadians!
_________________________
- Tony C
my empeg stuff

Top
#307446 - 19/02/2008 17:34 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: tonyc]
DWallach
carpal tunnel

Registered: 30/04/2000
Posts: 3810
Remember when the Chinese were shooting down that satellite and the big argument was over whether they were polluting the earth's orbit with dangerous space junk? I wonder why we're not hearing the same argument here.

Top
#307449 - 19/02/2008 18:30 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: DWallach]
mlord
carpal tunnel

Registered: 29/08/2000
Posts: 14496
Loc: Canada
Originally Posted By: DWallach
Remember when the Chinese were shooting down that satellite and the big argument was over whether they were polluting the earth's orbit with dangerous space junk? I wonder why we're not hearing the same argument here.


Because this one is already on its way down, and so the debris is unlikely to remain in orbit.

They want to shoot it for two reasons that I can see:
1) to prevent China/Russia/anyone from getting their hands on sensitive technology that might be onboard, and
2) to make it more likely to just burn up on reentry, rather than poke a hole in the roof of the White House.

Cheers

Top
#307454 - 19/02/2008 19:05 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: mlord]
Tim
veteran

Registered: 25/04/2000
Posts: 1529
Loc: Arizona
Originally Posted By: mlord
Originally Posted By: DWallach
Remember when the Chinese were shooting down that satellite and the big argument was over whether they were polluting the earth's orbit with dangerous space junk? I wonder why we're not hearing the same argument here.

Because this one is already on its way down, and so the debris is unlikely to remain in orbit.

They want to shoot it for two reasons that I can see:
1) to prevent China/Russia/anyone from getting their hands on sensitive technology that might be onboard, and
2) to make it more likely to just burn up on reentry, rather than poke a hole in the roof of the White House.

Cheers

To expand somewhat on what Mark is saying:

The altitude is the biggest difference between the two shots. There was an article somewhere yesterday (it was in the consolidated group of 'you might be interested in' articles I get at work) that compared the altitudes of the two satellites. The Chinese one was at a high altitude (537 mi) orbit, while US-193 is already in a degrading orbit between 160-167 mi. They expect most of the pieces to enter the atmosphere (and burn up rather than strike the ground) within five days.

Some people are concerned about the sensitive technology. This was a NRO satellite, so there is some ridiculously classified equipment on it. Any time you start dealing with sensors or communications, countries will go through a lot of trouble to protect that technology.

The other concern is hydrazine. The tanks are big and bulky and may survive re-entry. The stuff is nasty. If it doesn't kill you, it can still cause seizures and comas and damage your liver, kidneys and nervous system. Destroying those tanks greatly increases the chances that the pieces will burn up on re-entry and not pose a threat to anybody.

Top
#307456 - 19/02/2008 19:49 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: Tim]
mlord
carpal tunnel

Registered: 29/08/2000
Posts: 14496
Loc: Canada
Originally Posted By: Tim
The other concern is hydrazine. The tanks are big and bulky and may survive re-entry.


That one always just sounded like a PR excuse to me. If there was any significant amount of hydrazine left on the satellite, then it would have been burned to help it maintain orbit longer. After all, that's what it was put up there for.

So the tanks are pretty much empty, but possibly still hazardous if they survive reentry intact. But I wouldn't really expect them to -- big, thin walled thingies.. no way.

Cheers

Top
#307457 - 19/02/2008 19:55 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: mlord]
tfabris
carpal tunnel

Registered: 20/12/1999
Posts: 31600
Loc: Seattle, WA
Originally Posted By: mlord
Because this one is already on its way down, and so the debris is unlikely to remain in orbit.


I'm not sure I'm convinced the debris is all gonna drop. Sure, the thing is in a slowly decaying orbit right now, so the idea is that the debris will decay too. But think about it. You blow it to smithereens, each smithereen is going to go flying off in a random direction at a wildly unpredictable velocity. I say there's a good chance some of those individual smithereens will end up in stable orbits.
_________________________
Tony Fabris

Top
#307458 - 19/02/2008 19:57 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: mlord]
mlord
carpal tunnel

Registered: 29/08/2000
Posts: 14496
Loc: Canada
Originally Posted By: mlord
Originally Posted By: Tim
The other concern is hydrazine. The tanks are big and bulky and may survive re-entry.


That one always just sounded like a PR excuse to me. If there was any significant amount of hydrazine left on the satellite, then it would have been burned to help it maintain orbit longer. After all, that's what it was put up there for.


Oh, wait. If we believe the original press release (why not?), then the tanks probably are full after all:
Quote:

The 5,000-pound National Reconnaissance Office surveillance satellite was pronounced dead just a few hours after it was inserted into orbit, on Dec. 14, 2006.

Top
#307459 - 19/02/2008 19:58 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: tfabris]
tfabris
carpal tunnel

Registered: 20/12/1999
Posts: 31600
Loc: Seattle, WA
And are there any West Wing fans having Deja Vu right now?

(One of the episodes had one of the characters overseeing an orbital missile-intercept test in the situation room, and the test miseed by like 100 miles or something.)
_________________________
Tony Fabris

Top
#307460 - 19/02/2008 19:59 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: mlord]
peter
carpal tunnel

Registered: 13/07/2000
Posts: 4180
Loc: Cambridge, England
Originally Posted By: mlord
That one always just sounded like a PR excuse to me. If there was any significant amount of hydrazine left on the satellite, then it would have been burned to help it maintain orbit longer. After all, that's what it was put up there for.

So the tanks are pretty much empty, but possibly still hazardous if they survive reentry intact. But I wouldn't really expect them to -- big, thin walled thingies.. no way.

Plus, the flash point of hydrazine is <40C. There's no way any of that is surviving re-entry.

Peter

Top
#307462 - 19/02/2008 20:04 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: tfabris]
mlord
carpal tunnel

Registered: 29/08/2000
Posts: 14496
Loc: Canada
Originally Posted By: tfabris
Sure, the thing is in a slowly decaying orbit right now


I'm unable thus far to find out that information. The press releases imply that the shoot-down is planned for just a few days before the satellite is due to enter the atmosphere, which would indicate a rapidly decaying orbit by some definitions.

Originally Posted By: news article
Left alone, the satellite would be expected to hit Earth during the first week of March.


But real information on spy satellites is somewhat tricky to come by.

Cheers


Edited by mlord (19/02/2008 20:07)

Top
#307472 - 20/02/2008 04:39 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: tonyc]
altman
carpal tunnel

Registered: 19/05/1999
Posts: 3457
Loc: Palo Alto, CA
Rather randomly, Claire saw this one launch at Vandenburg... and I was in China so I missed it. Turns out her american cousin works there as a rocket/payload person which means he can get people really fairly close to the launchpad which makes for great viewing.

Here's hoping that she doesn't get to see it come down...

Hugo

Top
#307474 - 20/02/2008 11:51 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: peter]
Tim
veteran

Registered: 25/04/2000
Posts: 1529
Loc: Arizona
Originally Posted By: peter
Originally Posted By: mlord
That one always just sounded like a PR excuse to me. If there was any significant amount of hydrazine left on the satellite, then it would have been burned to help it maintain orbit longer. After all, that's what it was put up there for.

So the tanks are pretty much empty, but possibly still hazardous if they survive reentry intact. But I wouldn't really expect them to -- big, thin walled thingies.. no way.

Plus, the flash point of hydrazine is <40C. There's no way any of that is surviving re-entry.

Its been roughly 10 years since my last thermodynamics course, but doesn't pressure have a large part to do with flash point? The normal way it is calculated is with an open cup, but I would expect pressurized vessels behave quite a bit differently.

Top
#307475 - 20/02/2008 12:42 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: Tim]
peter
carpal tunnel

Registered: 13/07/2000
Posts: 4180
Loc: Cambridge, England
Originally Posted By: Tim
Its been roughly 10 years since my last thermodynamics course, but doesn't pressure have a large part to do with flash point? The normal way it is calculated is with an open cup, but I would expect pressurized vessels behave quite a bit differently.

Yes, I suppose I'm also assuming that the pressurised vessel wouldn't survive uncontrolled re-entry unpunctured. Unless the vessel is glider-shaped and made of space-shuttle tiles, that's probably a fair assumption.

Peter

Top
#307477 - 20/02/2008 12:50 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: mlord]
Tim
veteran

Registered: 25/04/2000
Posts: 1529
Loc: Arizona
Originally Posted By: mlord
Oh, wait. If we believe the original press release (why not?), then the tanks probably are full after all:
Quote:

The 5,000-pound National Reconnaissance Office surveillance satellite was pronounced dead just a few hours after it was inserted into orbit, on Dec. 14, 2006.

This particular launch was important to a lot of people. It was the first launch from United Launch Alliance (ULA) which was a team of Lockheed-Martin and Boeing that was formed in the wake of the EELV fiasco. People were interested in seeing if the two could play nice together after all the litigation that occured because of the way Boeing won the contract.

The other part that got a lot of attention was that this satellite was viewed as an emergency capability gap filler. The Boeing Future Imagery Architecture (FIA) satellelites were suppose to be launched in 2005. People were suprised Boeing won the contract because their experience with satellites was limited to communications and launch vehicles. This launch was seen as validation that the FIA program was unsustainable and vindication for everybody that was saying that Lockheed-Martin should have received the contract from the start.

It raised a lot of eyebrows when communication with the satellite was never achieved. The only thing known about it was that it reached the intended orbit successfully (the first successful launch by ULA). In the commercial world, satellites are tested by the builders before the controls are handed over to the owner. In this case, that step would never have happened if it wasn't an USG satellite.

The visibility on this launch is pretty extraordinary for a Classified launch. Because of all the people interested, I would be surprised if anything they said about the satellite failing wasn't completely true.

Top
#307493 - 20/02/2008 21:33 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: peter]
CrackersMcCheese
pooh-bah

Registered: 14/01/2002
Posts: 2489
According to the BBC, the fuel is now frozen solid as the heating systems have failed. A pretty good chance that it would survive re-entry. This missile pretty much has to rupture the tank then, right? Thats a tough shot!


Edited by Phil. (20/02/2008 21:34)

Top
#307524 - 21/02/2008 15:46 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: CrackersMcCheese]
andy
carpal tunnel

Registered: 10/06/1999
Posts: 5916
Loc: Wivenhoe, Essex, UK
Originally Posted By: Phil.
This missile pretty much has to rupture the tank then, right? Thats a tough shot!

From the Wikipedia write up of the anti-missile-missile that they used it appears it does indeed have the capability of hitting a selected part of its target.
_________________________
Remind me to change my signature to something more interesting someday

Top
#307594 - 24/02/2008 04:21 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: andy]
loren
carpal tunnel

Registered: 23/08/2000
Posts: 3826
Loc: SLC, UT, USA
So out of laziness to look it up and burning curiosity...

How do they do this? What tech is the missle using to track and hit it's target with such precision? Any ideas or links?
_________________________
|| loren ||

Top
#307596 - 24/02/2008 08:19 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: loren]
andy
carpal tunnel

Registered: 10/06/1999
Posts: 5916
Loc: Wivenhoe, Essex, UK
All my information comes from wikipedia, according to which the ship's radar tracks the target and guides the missile to the target. It also says the warhead has some sort of sensor for identifying the right place to hit the target (sounds like a video camera and image recognition).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RIM-161_Standard_missile_3
_________________________
Remind me to change my signature to something more interesting someday

Top
#307878 - 04/03/2008 14:28 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: tonyc]
Tim
veteran

Registered: 25/04/2000
Posts: 1529
Loc: Arizona
There is some more information being released about how the shoot-down happened and what occured to make it happen. I'm not sure how long that link will be good for, it might change if another article is released. The title of that article is 'Little Time, Lots of Effort Led To Successful Satellite Shoot-Down'.

There is also an article in Space and Missile examining the potential political fallout from the shot. I can't find an online presence for the article, but it states that based on the shot, full funding for the next fiscal year ($1.2B) is expected. The article is based on a paper by Victoria Sampson. She is an analyst with the Center for Defense Information (aka a beltway bandit), but I won't go into my thoughts on any of those think tanks.

Top
#307879 - 04/03/2008 14:59 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: Tim]
andy
carpal tunnel

Registered: 10/06/1999
Posts: 5916
Loc: Wivenhoe, Essex, UK
"The page you tried to access is only available to paid subscribers."

"Single-user subscriptions are available at the following rates:

* 6 months, $3,200
* 12 months, $5,900"

shocked


Edited by andy (04/03/2008 15:01)
_________________________
Remind me to change my signature to something more interesting someday

Top
#307882 - 04/03/2008 16:24 Re: It's a bird! It's a plane! Its... [Re: andy]
Tim
veteran

Registered: 25/04/2000
Posts: 1529
Loc: Arizona
Ooph, sorry about that. We have site licenses to a ton of sites, and wasn't aware that was one of them.

Well, it was interesting reading. blush

Top