The machine in question settled down and everything was going ok, until earlier this week.
Right now, there are only three accounts that can be logged in, root and two user accounts in the wheel group. Well, they should be able to be logged in

The root account is expired (it wasn't recognizing the password anyway, which is why it wasn't used for so long) and the other two are locked because of the number of password attempts. It also isn't recognizing the GRUB password.
To recover, I was going to open the cases and mount that drive as a data drive in the other (identical) system. My question is, how do I recover from there? From what I've seen, pam_tally/pam_tally2 doesn't lock the account in the shadow file, so how do I fix those locked accounts? I can get into single mode easy enough, assuming it lets me with an expired root, so maybe I have to do that and then go through all the pam_tally stuff?