I now would tend to think that the chances of getting a 60GB ordered up to Jan 5 would be high.
I ordered a 10GB on Jan 2 and I got the shipping notice today, along with a tracking number that shows it having left San Jose this evening.
I would imagine the 20GB I ordered on Jan 3 will soon ship, as well as the 60GB I ordered on Jan 5.
And no, I am not hoarding or speculating -- I have a co-worker and family member who each have long wanted empegs but could not afford the price, justifiable as it was.
So -- its looking like anyone who came to their senses on or before Jan 2 will likely have their empeg.
Best of luck to all.