Yup, I suspect the VHS-Laserdisc "wars" will be a much more apt comparison. It's better, but most people won't care enough to upgrade. Some people will pay the inflated prices that the studios will try and charge, but for most people, paying twice as much won't be worth it.

If one of the formats gets the player price under $150, and gets titles regularly priced at $25 or less, it'll have a fighting chance. Otherwise, they'll both stay firmly in laserdisc territory.

Matthew