I think they will both fail. They would have had a better chance if Sony wasn't so stupid in preventing the player manufacturers from making one that will play both formats.

I don't think the PS3 will help because yeah maybe 600.00 is cheap for a blu-ray player but 600.00 is a bunch of money. I remember DVDs getting really popular when the players dropped under 100.00 and they started selling them everyplace (gas stations, grocery stores).