I can agree that it will do reasonably well for a tablet, because any success would qualify for that. I have no confidence that this will be considered a successful Apple product, though. Frankly, I think the AppleTV had a far clearer place in the world than this thing, and we can see how well that's done.

*edit*
I also agree with Tom that the Kindle DX is dead, but I never saw that doing well from the get-go.